
(Credit)
With every passing day, it looks increasingly certain that The One™ has got this election nailed down. America’s about to get all the “hope” and “change” it can stomach.
Meanwhile, the London Telegraph reports that senior GOP leadership expect a landslide victory for Obama which could ignite a civil war within the ranks for the future of the party:
Aides to George W.Bush, former Reagan White House staff and friends of John McCain have all told The Sunday Telegraph that they not only expect to lose on November 4, but also believe that Mr Obama is poised to win a crushing mandate.
They believe he will be powerful enough to remake the American political landscape with even more ease than Ronald Reagan did in 1980.
The prospect of an electoral rout has unleashed a bitter bout of recriminations both within the McCain campaign and the wider conservative movement, over who is to blame and what should be done to salvage the party’s future.
[snip]
David Frum, a former Bush speechwriter, told The Sunday Telegraph that Republicans should now concentrate all their fire on “the need for balanced government”.
“It’s hard to see a turnaround in the White House race,” he said. “This could look like an ideological as well as a party victory if we’re not careful. It could be 1980 in reverse.
“With this huge new role for federal government in the economy, the possibility for mischief making is very, very great. One man should not have a monopoly of political and financial power. That’s very dangerous.”
In North Carolina, where Senator Elizabeth Dole seems set to loose, Republicans are running adverts that appear to take an Obama victory for granted, warning that the Democrat will have a “blank cheque” if her rival Kay Hagen wins. “These liberals want complete control of government in a time of crisis,” the narrator says. “All branches of Government. No checks and balances.”
Democrats lead in eight of the 12 competitive Senate races and need just nine gains to reach their target of 60. Even Mitch McConnell, the leader of Senate Republicans, is at risk in Kentucky, normally a rock solid red state.
A private memo on the likely result of the congressional elections, leaked to Politico, has the Republicans losing 37 seats.
Ed Rollins, who masterminded Ronald Reagan’s second victory in 1984, said the election is already over and predicted: “This is going to turn into a landslide.”
A former White House official who still advises President Bush told The Sunday Telegraph: “McCain hasn’t won independents, nor has he inspired the base. It’s the worst of all worlds. He is dragging everyone else down with him. He needs to deploy people and money to salvage what we can in Congress.”
It goes on, if you can bear to read it. For me, if Obama weren’t sitting on the other side of this horrific breech, I’d be downright gleeful for a fight to restructure the Republican Party. We need it desperately, and the fact that Sarah Palin was thrown out there as an appeal to the base means that they know what we want - sort of.
It’s hard to tell if this is the beginning of Palin’s career or the unceremonious and abrupt end. If Obama wins overwhelmingly - something the polls don’t entirely point to but other factors (like his insanely large rallies) seem to indicate - Palin may be tied irrevocably to McCain’s trainwreck of a campaign. Further, she’s endorsed too many of his non-conservative policies to be free of ideological baggage, meaning that her best bet in 2012 would be to play up the fact that she was inexperienced back in ‘08 and has spent a lot of time learning and developing policy platforms of her own. My guess is that Palin is, on the whole, too neo-con for what seems to be an emerging core of paleonconservative/classical liberals at the root of the conservative resurgence. Guys like Michael Brendan Dougherty, Justin Raimondo, Conor Friedersdorf, Daniel Larison, and even the never-serious John Zmirak are exerting pull that’s either getting more play, or I’m just becoming more aware of it. Pat Buchanan is in style again (even on Rachel Maddow’s show), the Paulites cannot be underestimated, Von Mises has stewards in gentlemen like Jeffrey Tucker and Tom Woods, and Catholic bloggers like Mark Shea and, if anyone is listening, myself - are trying to help pull people out of the neocon tailspin.
The convergence of social and traditional media that’s happening right now, real time, is helping to blur lines and make this possible - the influence of the little guy, if he’s cogent enough and has good things to say - can be equally important to the stuff getting bandied about at The Corner or in The Kingdom Of Kristol, and certainly vies for attention with old-guard rags like the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. I give far more political creedence to bloggers and writers who make their case well and consistently (linking, in turn, to others who do the same) than I do to big-name journalists or old-skool party hacks and pundits. I want fresh perspectives, people who were never in bed with an administration, writers whose views haven’t calcified over the course as one (or several) campaign strategies panned out. People who still have to work for a living, connect with real people, and have to hustle for their martinis and only attend gala dinners in rented tuxes.
I digress.
For those who continue to hold the reins of power, the dividing line can be neatly drawn between those in love with the Governor-lady with the funny accent from Alaska, and those who are less besotted:
…The real bile has been saved for those conservatives who have balked at the selection of Sarah Palin.
In addition to Mr Frum, who thinks her not ready to be president, Peggy Noonan, Ronald Reagan’s greatest speechwriter and a columnist with the Wall Street Journal, condemned Mr McCain’s running mate as a “symptom and expression of a new vulgarisation of American politics.” Conservative columnist David Brooks called her a “fatal cancer to the Republican Party”.
The backlash that ensued last week revealed the fault lines of the coming civil war.
Rush Limbaugh, the doyen of right wing talk radio hosts, denounced Noonan, Brooks and Frum. Neconservative writer Charles Krauthammer condemned “the rush of wet-fingered conservatives leaping to Barack Obama”, while fellow columnist Tony Blankley said that instead of collaborating in heralding Mr Obama’s arrival they should be fighting “in a struggle to the political death for the soul of the country”.
During the primaries the Democratic Party was bitterly divided between Barack Obama’s “latte liberals” and Hillary Clinton’s heartland supporters, but now the same cultural division threatens to tear the Republican Party apart.
Jim Nuzzo, a White House aide to the first President Bush, dismissed Mrs Palin’s critics as “cocktail party conservatives” who “give aid and comfort to the enemy”.
He told The Sunday Telegraph: “There’s going to be a bloodbath. A lot of people are going to be excommunicated. David Brooks and David Frum and Peggy Noonan are dead people in the Republican Party. The litmus test will be: where did you stand on Palin?”
This is a bunch of nonsense, of course. Palin is no Reagan. Her strength lies in her relatability to average Americans and her strong pro-life, pro-family appeal. But what is populism when the country is so schizophrenic? 2012 will see Palin in the running, no doubt, but will she rise to the fore or be forever tied to afore-mentioned policies and failed bid of Crazy Uncle John? Who will emerge to lead the factions to a unified conservatism by then? Could a dark horse candidate come to save us? Will we see the Palins and Jindals vying for legitimacy, instead of the Romneys, Julianis and McCains?
Or, if the Obamessiah is annointed, will there be a 2012 election at all? (I can see his inauguration bearing shades of Caesar returning from Gaul. I wonder if future generations will equate “Crossing the Potomac” with “Crossing the Rubicon”?)
If anyone has booze and wants to stop by to talk about it, you should be able to locate my house if you drive through town and listen for the wailing and gnashing of teeth.