In case you were wondering if I could let it pass without a comment…I can’t.
Your friend and mine, the ex-vice president of the United States, that filmmaker of record, the humanitarian, private-jet-travelling, carbon-consuming activist on behalf of the environment, Al Gore, has (sniff) won the Nobel Peace Prize for his outstanding work to save mother earth from her rapacious human children.
To me, the news is an ironic coincidence, considering that my days in the early portion of this week, spent in a darkened room waiting for my eye to heal, were filled with the audiobook rendition of Michael Chrichton’s State of Fear.
The book itself is unwieldy and even boring at times. Chricton’s agenda shows through clearly in places where the narrative winds up threadbare, diminishing to little more than a flat-out (though much needed) assault by the author on the global warming fever sweeping this nation.
As a story, State of Fear falters, though it was interesting enough to keep me from falling into a boredom-induced coma as I studied the inside of my eyelids for days on end. But Chricton, who has received no small amount of criticism for his views of climate science as expressed therein, has done us all a service by trying to draw our attention to the men behind the green curtain.
In an author’s post script, Chricton indicts the politicized science of catastrophic climate change by comparing its mass-fervor and universal acceptance to a similar (and even more dangerous) theme from the early 20th century - eugenics:
Imagine that there is a new scientific theory that warns of an impending crisis, and points to a way out.
This theory quickly draws support from leading scientists, politicians and celebrities around the world. Research is funded by distinguished philanthropies, and carried out at prestigious universities. The crisis is reported frequently in the media. The science is taught in college and high school classrooms.
I don’t mean global warming. I’m talking about another theory, which rose to prominence a century ago.
Its supporters included Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, and Winston Churchill. It was approved by Supreme Court justices Oliver Wendell Holmes and Louis Brandeis, who ruled in its favor. The famous names who supported it included Alexander Graham Bell, inventor of the telephone; activist Margaret Sanger; botanist Luther Burbank; Leland Stanford, founder of Stanford University; the novelist H. G. Wells; the playwright George Bernard Shaw; and hundreds of others. Nobel Prize winners gave support. Research was backed by the Carnegie and Rockefeller Foundations. The Cold Springs Harbor Institute was built to carry out this research, but important work was also done at Harvard, Yale, Princeton, Stanford and Johns Hopkins. Legislation to address the crisis was passed in states from New York to California.
These efforts had the support of the National Academy of Sciences, the American Medical Association, and the National Research Council. It was said that if Jesus were alive, he would have supported this effort.
All in all, the research, legislation and molding of public opinion surrounding the theory went on for almost half a century. Those who opposed the theory were shouted down and called reactionary, blind to reality, or just plain ignorant. But in hindsight, what is surprising is that so few people objected.
Today, we know that this famous theory that gained so much support was actually pseudoscience. The crisis it claimed was nonexistent. And the actions taken in the name of theory were morally and criminally wrong. Ultimately, they led to the deaths of millions of people.
The theory was eugenics, and its history is so dreadful — and, to those who were caught up in it, so embarrassing — that it is now rarely discussed. But it is a story that should be well know to every citizen, so that its horrors are not repeated.
Chricton makes it clear that the dangers inherent in the consensus over global warming and eugenics are not of the same magnitude, but a lesson is there to be learned:
I am not arguing that global warming is the same as eugenics. But the similarities are not superficial. And I do claim that open and frank discussion of the data, and of the issues, is being suppressed. Leading scientific journals have taken strong editorial positions of the side of global warming, which, I argue, they have no business doing. Under the circumstances, any scientist who has doubts understands clearly that they will be wise to mute their expression.
One proof of this suppression is the fact that so many of the outspoken critics of global warming are retired professors. These individuals are not longer seeking grants, and no longer have to face colleagues whose grant applications and career advancement may be jeopardized by their criticisms.
In science, the old men are usually wrong. But in politics, the old men are wise, counsel caution, and in the end are often right.
Climate change does seem to be occuring, and more and more data seems to be rising to the surface to demonstrate that the trend is in fact global, and skews toward warming. Though it’s probably only anecdotal, it was about 90 degrees here on Monday, despite the fact that we’re well into October. The water shortages being faced in my home town among numerous others are a testament to the heat and lack of precipitation. In Loudoun County Virginia, we’re 13 inches below normal for rainfall this year. It’s not insignificant, though it could just as easily be part of a natural cycle as part of some catastrophic global consequence of industrialization.
Which highlights the point - we simply don’t know enough. There’s a lot of fear-mongering out there on this issue, and from my vantage point as a trend-watcher it’s not going to go away any time soon. Eco-trends will only be pushed aside by economic ones, though the two will probably be increasingly linked over the course of time as policy change affects industry, consumption, and behavior.
If you haven’t read State of Fear, it’s worth a look, if only to get you thinking about this issue in a different light. Whatever side of the debate you’re on, I think it’s likely that you’ll find some of the points made within the story thought-provoking.
As for Al Gore…well, most people probably knew what the Nobel was worth when Arafat received it in 1994.
The Nobel Prize committee should be taken about as seriously as the U.N.